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LOS ANGELES TIMES: Don't dump the Iran nuclear deal

05 May 2018

Both Dermer and Netanyahu hope that, in light of this information, President Trump will pull out of that deal and pursue a stronger approach to Iran's nuclear program.

A second option: re-imposing only the central bank sanctions.

In a message posted on YouTube, Mohammad Javad Zarif said Tehran would also be prepared to reject any ratification of the deal.

"President Trump's will-he-or-won't-he antics over Iran have been dominating the oil headlines of late..." "The verification provisions in the Iran nuclear deal would make it harder for Iran to restart any such research".

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Vladimir Yermakov, head of arms control and nonproliferation for the Russian Foreign Ministry, told reporters Friday that a USA withdrawal would not kill the deal, which Iran signed with the Obama administration and five global powers - Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany. "After all, market participants will not want to miss the boat for a new era of Iranian sanctions", he added.

The source familiar with the debate said USA negotiators are hamstrung by the fact that they do not really know where Trump's "red line" is and so they can not tell the Europeans what would secure Trump's blessing. It lifted restrictions on Iran's oil exports and eased other sanctions, pumping billions of dollars into a previously moribund economy.

This option will allow Mr Trump to rally his base and fulfil his campaign promise not to certify what he called an "insane" and "ridiculous" deal but without completely upending negotiations with the Europeans, who still endorse the agreement.

Such attacks are considered more likely than actions that might trigger a US military response against Iranian nuclear and military targets. For instance, Europe companies owned or managed by American mother or father corporations would breach the sanctions in the event that they did not minimize off Iran.

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European leaders have maintained the stance that the Nuclear Deal must be conserved and that the intelligence material reveal only, "underlies the importance of keeping the Iran nuclear deal's constraints on Tehran's nuclear ambitions", as UK Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson said. Even he doesn't seem to know. Had they been fully effective, there'd have been no need for the nuclear deal in the first place.

Even with out the nuclear deal, Iran would nonetheless be required to permit a extra restricted regime of inspections required by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, which Iran has signed.

As for Iran's current compliance, of course it's complying. Iran stopped producing 20 percent enriched uranium and gave up the majority of its stockpile as part of the 2015 agreement.

In addition, Russia's Foreign Ministry's Department on New Challenges and Threats, Dmitry Feoktistov noted that the United States is trying to present Iran and its Hezbollah militant group as a bigger threat than ISIS terrorists. According to analysts, this is less about the deal itself than about what killing the deal would lead to.

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LOS ANGELES TIMES: Don't dump the Iran nuclear deal